N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $863.7
- Potential payout
- $879.98
- Potential profit
- $16.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $62.92
Polymarket Trader
brightleaf
0xbb9f95f70a8211a7429fbfd895c531186061fde1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35K
- Realized PnL
- $2.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $714.4
- Potential payout
- $760
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $547.53
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- User PnL
- $47.02
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $225.23
- Potential payout
- $495
- Potential profit
- $269.78
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$175.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.42
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.62
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Magic
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.98
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Canucks position
Capitals vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.9
Yes position
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.82
No position
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.17
Under position
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.17
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.59
Over position
Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.8
Jets position
Sabres vs. Jets
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Nuggets position
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.11
Under position
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Canadiens position
Wild vs. Canadiens
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.39
Canucks position
Wild vs. Canucks
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.58
No position
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.26
Wild position
Red Wings vs. Wild
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
Georgia position
Georgia vs. Alabama
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.18
Kings position
Knicks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 495 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 79% 1,135.44 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 93% 270 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 93% 490 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 530 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 82% 310 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 68% 150 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.8% 1,184.83 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 63.8% 159.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.4% 1,184.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.2% 476.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84% 476.35 shares