Polymarket Trader

icarabet

0xbba2d12b789a6c25b0a2f6de0112a26c9ae84e5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.18
Realized PnL: $75.59
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $455.55
Potential profit: $453.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$57.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $118.87
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.95

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $11.43
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

TEAM ORUGA position

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.43

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

Ball State Cardinals position

Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

No position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.78

Crashers position

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Canadiens position

Wild vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Cloud9 New York position

Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Boston Breach (BO5)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.87

UTSA Roadrunners position

UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.9

Zero Tenacity position

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

McDonald position

Australian Open Men's: Mackenzie McDonald vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Columbia Lions position

Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

The Bandits position

LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Group

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 11.43 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 5.6% 156.25 shares
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 294.07 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

No 71% 101.41 shares
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Loyola Chicago Ramblers 30% 99.4 shares
Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Ball State Cardinals 62% 30 shares
Wild vs. Canadiens

Canadiens 54% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

TEAM ORUGA 54% 37.04 shares
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

Crashers 42% 58 shares
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

Crashers 34.2% 58.5 shares
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Group

The Bandits 65% 15.38 shares