No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $22.03
- Potential payout
- $23.24
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
hkw
0xbbf2108f393c81643e92cb215c7b3a616aa0c79d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.73
- Realized PnL
- $4.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $22.16
- Potential payout
- $23.02
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 97.8% 3.45 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No 97.7% 6.08 shares
- Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 97.9% 6.07 shares
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 97.8% 6.09 shares
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 97.8% 6.08 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No 97.6% 6.1 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No 97.6% 6.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.7% 6.32 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No 97.4% 6.15 shares
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 98% 6.11 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 93% 6.46 shares
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?No 98.1% 6.12 shares