pecepe

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $57.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $292.25
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$5.25

No position

Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.47
Potential profit: $160.47
User PnL: -$111.27

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $95.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.15

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$48

No position

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $53.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $26.8
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $77.24
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $27.64

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $50.22
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $11.78
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $51.57
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $51.14
Potential payout: $52.85
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $14.27
Potential payout: $41.99
Potential profit: $27.71
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$9.86

No position

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$8.12

No position

Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.49
Potential profit: $12.49
User PnL: -$6.15

No position

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $347.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.05

No position

Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.08

No position

Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.94

No position

Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.85

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.26

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61

No position

Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.53

No position

Will anyone say "Rent Control" or "Rent Controlled" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET