Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $7.68K
- Potential profit
- $7.67K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$163.18
Polymarket Trader
Keparo
0xbc1775a8bc4dda029c04bc4976c5612430f6289a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.31K
- Realized PnL
- $21.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$145.94
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- User PnL
- -$177.67
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$132.56
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$492.21
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$489.79
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $466.14
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$31.81
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $246.04
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $328.93
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$41.38
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$25.39
Yes position
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $612.09
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $862.82
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$134.91
No position
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$199.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $59.47
- Potential payout
- $999.5
- Potential profit
- $940.03
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$43.29
No position
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $159.25
- Potential payout
- $910
- Potential profit
- $750.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$30.72
No position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $172
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $627.99
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$22.53
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $438.44
- Potential payout
- $789.99
- Potential profit
- $351.55
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $87.4
- Potential payout
- $760
- Potential profit
- $672.6
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $299.19
- Potential payout
- $679.99
- Potential profit
- $380.79
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $19.82
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $449.57
- Potential payout
- $671
- Potential profit
- $221.43
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $83.48
- Potential payout
- $667.87
- Potential profit
- $584.39
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.48
Yes position
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $184.24
- Potential payout
- $658
- Potential profit
- $473.76
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$63.82
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $100.42
- Potential payout
- $647.85
- Potential profit
- $547.43
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $48.18
- Potential payout
- $642.38
- Potential profit
- $594.2
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.2
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.56
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782.64
Yes position
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.18
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.02
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.57
Yes position
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.49
Yes position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $518.02
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.45
Yes position
Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.14
No position
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.43
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.61
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.06
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.94
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.31
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.36
Marlins position
Marlins vs. Mets
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.2% 3,801.15 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1.8% 500 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1.6% 799.99 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16% 120 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 38% 11.66 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 36% 68.9 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes 61% 100 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes 53% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes 22% 70 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes 22% 20 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes 54% 9.62 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes 29.3% 153.56 shares