quitecatis

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$755.63

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $877.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.93
Potential profit: $380.93
User PnL: -$13.42

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$216.5

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215
Potential profit: $215
User PnL: -$26.19

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $201.98
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.41
Potential profit: $187.41
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.19
Potential profit: $168.19
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $150.01
Potential profit: $131.33
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.16
Potential profit: $107.16
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the US add at least 250k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.41
Potential profit: $94.41
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $33.94
Potential payout: $78.02
Potential profit: $44.08
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $14.61

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $75.38
Potential profit: $65.17
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.48
Potential profit: $73.48
User PnL: -$11.32

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.26
Potential profit: $60.26
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.59
Potential profit: $54.59
User PnL: -$5.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.16

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.58

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.38

Yes position

Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.41

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.24

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.37

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.88

No position

Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.99

Yes position

Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.71

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?