Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $110.88
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$124.04
Polymarket Trader
n5lctzhfgbl2
0xbc1f440cb98d6944cfe8919b8c29f8bbdd029f0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $542.69
- Realized PnL
- -$10
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $336.11
- Potential payout
- $483.68
- Potential profit
- $147.57
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $117.86
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $220.68
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$18.41
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $64.95
- Potential payout
- $220.18
- Potential profit
- $155.23
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $24.16
- Potential payout
- $50.33
- Potential profit
- $26.17
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $9.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 34.1% 220.18 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 67.8% 161.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 54% 50.32 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 49% 144.9 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 11% 227.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 29.8% 100.65 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 44% 500 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.2% 599.36 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 5.4% 461.66 shares
- Will Tether be accused of insider trading?Yes 4% 250 shares