No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $12.97
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
federicotrimboli
0xbc20673e70044924c5da57c648a17b70b8dec576
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.01
- Realized PnL
- $20.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $8.42
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $2.69
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.1%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yue Yuan position
Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Carmen Gallardo
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0.31
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 58% 9.8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No 69% 1.56 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No 61% 2.19 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No 50% 2.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 2.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No 72% 1.69 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No 50% 1.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 2.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 55% 2.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 46% 2.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 62% 2.34 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 54% 2.12 shares