Polymarket Trader

Dewglow

0xbc219e04e5fff2cdd68d80a46b6cd34f677dcfc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.23
Realized PnL: $799.59
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.69
Potential profit: $28.69
User PnL: -$18.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $20.23
Potential payout: $22.35
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.42

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$2.31

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 22.35 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 1,875 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 169.49 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 97.9% 30.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 97.8% 30.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

No 98.4% 58.94 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 36% 163.79 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 57.4% 163.79 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 81% 115.66 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83% 115.66 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

No 67% 138.88 shares