Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $16.78
- Potential payout
- $145.3
- Potential profit
- $128.52
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Polymarket Trader
0xbc29...b3b6
0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $208.26
- Realized PnL
- $944.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $73.16
- Potential profit
- $72.25
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $66.1
- Potential payout
- $66.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $48.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $34.25
- Potential payout
- $61.72
- Potential profit
- $27.47
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $50.29
- Potential payout
- $50.67
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.84
No position
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.83
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.74
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $9.12
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.68
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.36
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.12
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Rangers
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.94
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.97
Over position
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.85
No position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?No 30.9% 37.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 56.72 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.6% 36.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 91.5% 36.4 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 67% 31.97 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 69% 14.93 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 69% 8.51 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 69% 12.62 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 65% 5.82 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 62% 12.13 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 64% 5.35 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 63% 22.31 shares