Polymarket Trader

dafa12

@WesleyAmy19796

0xbc2b0ca5b0559fbf196deef06ad346fc16375b98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.65
Realized PnL: $25.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.3%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $10.59
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$3.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $7.49
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.29
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.22
Potential profit: $7.22
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $6.6
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 22 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $5.06
User PnL: -$4

No position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Ethereum all time high before October?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.61
Potential profit: $3.61
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Bitcoin all time high by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 97.5% 10.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 96.1% 10.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

No 96.7% 10.34 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

Yes 95% 10.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 97% 10.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 93% 9.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 97.1% 10.3 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.4% 10.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 97.5% 10.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 98% 10.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 93.8% 10.66 shares