No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $70.8
- Potential payout
- $214.55
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Polymarket Trader
0xBC311E96C9bD1ba2689ed1DD40CA0ae51430e382-1764877581001
0xbc311e96c9bd1ba2689ed1dd40ca0ae51430e382
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.49
- Realized PnL
- -$26.78
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $25.38
- Potential payout
- $29.68
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $17.96
Y
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $11.66
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Y
Yes position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Y
Yes position
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.66
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No 31% 123.65 shares
- Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 44% 31.74 shares
- Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?Yes 1.1% 30.93 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 78.4% 29.89 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No 33% 90.91 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 78% 28.72 shares
- Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 2.5% 0.3 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 2.2% 2.75 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 2.2% 24.72 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 83.6% 58.62 shares
- Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?Yes 12.9% 30.94 shares