Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.85
- Potential profit
- $403.85
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
essjay1590
0xbc4fb7ddde77a58faf32558b40fa3b8ad972fe8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $476.04
- Realized PnL
- $243.78
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $275.04
- Potential payout
- $350.37
- Potential profit
- $75.33
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $19.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $177
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$29
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $136
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $64
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes 64% 57.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 35% 100 shares