Polymarket Trader

myodds

0xbc5739410e37acf39be446116c4400c97189753b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $265.54
Realized PnL: $848.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 22,000,000 and 24,000,000?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$20.8

No position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $119.99
Potential payout: $799.95
Potential profit: $679.96
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$467.97

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $17.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $382.2
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.41
Potential profit: $267.41
User PnL: -$13.37

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$41.6

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $84.91
Potential payout: $88.31
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.56
Potential profit: $49.56
User PnL: -$12.37

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $42.84
Potential payout: $46.31
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.41
Potential profit: $39.41
User PnL: -$16.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.87

No position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.76

No position

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.45

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.91

No position

Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.95

Yes position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.99

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.2

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

No position

Panick in the White House

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.29

No position

Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

No position

20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 32% 130 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 25% 49.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 42% 39.41 shares
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Yes 16.5% 100 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Yes 79% 200 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

No 82% 3,453.03 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

No 88.7% 1,335.18 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

No 84.8% 278.13 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

No 83.9% 800 shares
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

No 91% 80 shares
Will MrBeast hit 102.5 billion views by December 31?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares