Polymarket Trader

Karlutxo

0xbc5dd5b1c3d09ebfbf226f249f7113535baf6116

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.37
Realized PnL: $57.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.79
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $128.75
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $23.16
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $17.68
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $11.29
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $9.18
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.18
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Will Leavitt say "Economy" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Germany leading at halftime?

Yes 38% 5.26 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54.4% 9.19 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 17% 4.54 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 13.25 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 37.9% 2.64 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 6.25 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 80% 6.25 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.8% 7.55 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 7.56 shares