Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $533
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.67K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$604.13
Polymarket Trader
Noway110
0xbc6bfbf1a94c441516b022a70f85a02c6dfffa9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $755.62
- Realized PnL
- $2.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$164.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$23.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$59.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966
- Potential profit
- $966
- User PnL
- -$47.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $882.17
- Potential profit
- $882.17
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.19
- Potential profit
- $645.19
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.94
- Potential profit
- $632.94
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $72.69
- Potential payout
- $387.67
- Potential profit
- $314.98
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $22.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.56
- Potential profit
- $355.56
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.69
- Potential profit
- $347.69
- User PnL
- -$74.22
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $323.5
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $292.95
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $95.35
- Potential payout
- $291.14
- Potential profit
- $195.79
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $40.35
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.81
- Potential profit
- $273.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.76
- Potential profit
- $228.76
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $37.7
- Potential payout
- $203.24
- Potential profit
- $165.54
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.04
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.73
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.61
Yes position
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.07
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.29
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Japan position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 7.14 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 93% 20.83 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 91% 36.58 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 41% 12.2 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay 85% 11.76 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan 90% 14.28 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 21.05 shares