No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $93.02
Polymarket Trader
CB-Compound
0xbc6c65193d9865f3d544529fa31bfb909077287c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.51K
- Realized PnL
- $5.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $28.41
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $90.85
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$82.95
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $74.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.12
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- User PnL
- $49.79
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $596.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $30.6
No position
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $548.63
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.71
- Potential profit
- $422.71
- User PnL
- -$97.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.99
- Potential profit
- $409.99
- User PnL
- -$199.28
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $64.75
- Potential payout
- $350.02
- Potential profit
- $285.27
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.75
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $276.8
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $43.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.58
- Potential profit
- $293.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$96.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217
- Potential profit
- $217
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $193.39
- Potential payout
- $193.68
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $6.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.73
- Potential profit
- $146.73
- User PnL
- -$25.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.85
- Potential profit
- $138.85
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $121.42
- Potential payout
- $131.27
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.69
- Potential profit
- $127.69
- User PnL
- -$26.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Megaquake in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.64
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.35
Harris position
Who will win young men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $607.35
Yes position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.25
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.69
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.65
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.52
No position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.9
Yes position
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.71
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.87
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.85
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.54
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.95
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.29
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.65
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.53
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 155.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ETDown 43% 69.77 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 188 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ETUp 21% 119.05 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ETDown 26% 115.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ETDown 24% 74.4 shares
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99% 105 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ETUp 41% 73.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ETUp 38% 78.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ETUp 9.2% 217 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ETUp 41% 73.17 shares