Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $253.08
- Potential payout
- $342
- Potential profit
- $88.92
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $47.88
Polymarket Trader
iphone14
0xbc70c9297e36dbcf2a4b07e0ee1c9c10c44950c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $399.32
- Realized PnL
- $4.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $127.53
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.85
Yes position
Will Trump say “Low Energy” by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $506.56
No position
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.38
No position
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.76
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 20?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.46
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.38
Yes position
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.49
Mid-America Christian Evangels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $229.32
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.78
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 7AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.85
Levante UD position
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.02
Yes position
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.6
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.04
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.32
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $61.53
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.37
No position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.87
No position
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.6
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.59
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.12
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.62
Yes position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.42
No position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $27.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?No 49% 776 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 34% 139 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 34% 264 shares
- Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?No 57% 1,066 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 34% 276 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 34% 95 shares
- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?No 99.2% 210 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No 75% 157 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No 75% 134 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 34% 236 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No 78% 291 shares
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under 45% 655 shares