No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $103.6
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Polymarket Trader
Winter2024
0xbc8ede9c4dfce31e54180d1fdd401c1872312b1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $234.31
- Realized PnL
- $754.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $103
- Potential payout
- $108.94
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $27.71
- Potential payout
- $28.22
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.33
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.71
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.8
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Yes position
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.09
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 90% 112 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 28.22 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3% 200 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No 89% 20 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 73% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 81% 1.21 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No 83% 1.19 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No 90% 20 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.4% 200 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 12.2% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 33.8% 100 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 11.5% 278 shares