Yes position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Polymarket Trader
litigation
0xbc998383c7397ae62e7f7c738047617e4c2dae7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.15
- Realized PnL
- $162.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.65
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.21
- Potential profit
- $49.21
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $49.06
- Potential profit
- $45.14
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $22.07
- Potential profit
- $16.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.68
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Yes position
Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Yes position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $21.58
- Potential profit
- $16.83
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $21.17
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.11
- Potential profit
- $21.11
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.94
Yes position
US bank failure by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.83
Yes position
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Japan recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $6.38
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $4.93
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $3.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Labour 59% 5 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown 48% 22 shares
- Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30?Yes 12% 22 shares
- Trump on $250 bill this year?Yes 15% 22 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?Yes 9% 22 shares
- US bank failure by May 31?Yes 12% 15.05 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes 10% 21.51 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Yes 3.4% 50 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 7% 21.15 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes 6% 22 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 32% 10.51 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 32% 11.41 shares