No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
IndigoWalrus
0xbca2947b05034df1349ba6c08745f8929227d884
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.06
- Realized PnL
- $511.67
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.16
- Potential profit
- $755.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $21.39
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $534.17
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$28.61
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.34
- Potential profit
- $468.34
- User PnL
- -$72.73
Yes position
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $432.64
- Potential profit
- $432.64
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.45
- Potential profit
- $412.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.27
- Potential profit
- $158.27
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.78
- Potential profit
- $151.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $33.54
- Potential payout
- $109.97
- Potential profit
- $76.43
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $13.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.41
- Potential profit
- $98.41
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.72
- Potential profit
- $91.72
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $62.69
- Potential profit
- $62.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.56
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.73
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $19.19
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.11
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 88.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8% 62.69 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 555.56 shares
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 16% 187.86 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 11.8% 38.75 shares