Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
paraparaparaa
0xbcb2e53f35067780b281be0694d9fd69155baaa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.1
- Realized PnL
- $15.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298
- Potential profit
- $298
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.45
- Potential profit
- $263.45
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.78
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $44.97
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.86
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Diego Lopes position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Mauricio Ruffy position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Arizona Diamondbacks position
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Bo Nickal position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 95.3% 5 shares
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks 96% 5 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.3% 5 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 5 shares
- Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 97.8% 5 shares
- Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 98.2% 5 shares
- Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 98.1% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 98.7% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No 95.9% 5 shares