Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Polymarket Trader
altsaredead
0xbcbd91ee01fc760b8e56e3e1622d13189d83ef5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12K
- Realized PnL
- $128.49
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $734.54
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $3.78K
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $564.85
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $674.01
Yes position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $304.98
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.63
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $441
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $223.8
Yes position
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $628.81
- Potential payout
- $669.66
- Potential profit
- $40.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $32.81
Girl position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523
- Potential profit
- $523
- User PnL
- -$399.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his press conference?
Ends Aug 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.82
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$166
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 9.7% 22.3 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 9.6% 42 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 42% 930 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.9% 2,289 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.3% 11 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.8% 80.8 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.7% 35.2 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.7% 24.2 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 12.3% 16 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 73% 999.99 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 51% 1,076.86 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 52% 1,222.66 shares