Yes position
Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Polymarket Trader
Chegildek
0xbcc276705fb6d5a22e4aef994ede92f109918c9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $290.58
- Realized PnL
- $11.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $41.09
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $29.16
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.4%
- Current value
- $17.63
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $27.6
- Potential profit
- $26.99
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $26.36
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $21.91
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $23.96
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $16.22
- Potential payout
- $23.34
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $16.29
- Potential payout
- $22.78
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $17.8
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $21.37
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $21.82
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $20.96
- Potential profit
- $11.01
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $17.22
- Potential payout
- $20.67
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $20.66
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $19.57
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $19.53
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $10.58
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $17.52
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $17.74
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $731
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $664.61
Yes position
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $629.2
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $569.21
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $560.24
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $531.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.02
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.33
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $444.06
Yes position
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $441.7
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $440.22
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.81
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $393.71
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $390.36
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $378.06
No position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $374.01
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $358.57
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $358.48
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $345.91
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $339.74
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.49
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $330.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $326.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes 84% 5.22 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 59% 14 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 58% 10 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 65% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 60% 28 shares
- Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 58% 16 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 47% 1.36 shares
- Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 67% 0.3 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 54% 22 shares