Polymarket Trader

0x1103abE60E9B743be05f82dFe0A52FBb34aD4128-1777615627746

0xbcc32317b001e3bf71e7602539664c374c090369

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.54
Realized PnL: $4.54
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $105.84
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.5
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$8.17

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $55.63
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $59.66
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$6.12

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $16.63
Potential payout: $53.66
Potential profit: $37.02
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $49.11
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $14.15
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $9.85

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$9.61

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $14.95
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: -$7

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $6.44
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 37% 2.7 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 7.25 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 51.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 6.58 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 44% 17.24 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 9.8% 44 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

No 51.6% 13.57 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares