Polymarket Trader

kakinho05

0xbccabead3dc380281087389215c34047254e3e77

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $657.77
Realized PnL: $106.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $493.06
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $35.9

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $60.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $72.84
Potential payout: $72.87
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.02
Potential profit: $68.02
User PnL: -$5.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.76
Potential profit: $51.76
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $30.88
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $21.51
User PnL: -$20

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.33
Potential profit: $20.33
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 98.8% 72.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 97% 30.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 38% 19.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 38% 19.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 37% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

No 99.7% 100.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 99.8% 200.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

No 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

No 96.7% 20.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 185.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 98.8% 101.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 93.5% 21.39 shares