Polymarket Trader

SmartOpt

0xbcd244251d4542b9872e1a7cc6974b1ff1cc6ab0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.95K
Realized PnL: $2.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $31.63
Potential payout: $21.09K
Potential profit: $21.06K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.11K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $626.47
Potential payout: $12.16K
Potential profit: $11.54K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$727.19

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.24K
Potential payout: $9.11K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$61.46

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$238.32

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $55.54
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$65.11

Joao Fonseca position

BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.38
Potential profit: $994.38
User PnL: -$105.47

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$204

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$34.45

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$104.4

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$139

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

Maia position

US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Joao Fonseca position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.32
Potential profit: $168.32
User PnL: -$112.77

Fonseca position

US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tomas Machac

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $129.79
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$22.8

Yes position

Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9.6

Zandschulp position

US Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger Rune

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Chile end in a draw?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.7

PSG position

Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?

Ends Mar 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.62

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.55

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.1

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.8

Pereira position

Ankalaev vs. Pereira

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.4

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.75

Yes position

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.18

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.68

Inter Milan position

Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milan

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Barcelona position

Copa Del Rey: Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.7

Sabalenka position

French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatek

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.08

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Fonseca position

US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Botafogo beat PSG?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.09

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Joao Fonseca 67% 89.11 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 60% 100 shares
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Joao Fonseca 67% 79.21 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 34% 600 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 1,000 shares
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 71% 342 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 61% 400 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Joao Fonseca 10.9% 494.27 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 53% 100 shares
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Yes 27% 45 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Joao Fonseca 11% 173 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Joao Fonseca 9.9% 327.11 shares