Polymarket Trader

inducedchance

0xbcd6358b674834ec8101c238ec0d52540f0c0790

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $140
Realized PnL: $376.93K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.03K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.24K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52K

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.82K

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.03K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?

Yes 65.8% 2 shares
Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?

Yes 98.7% 10 shares
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

No 89% 10 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 80% 10 shares
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Yes 70% 16.46 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 51.6% 57,088.71 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 51.9% 22,347.23 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 49.9% 33,661.98 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 49.4% 143,443.67 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 52% 192,334.43 shares
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Yes 6% 14,754.09 shares