Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.53
- Potential profit
- $118.53
- User PnL
- -$37.93
Polymarket Trader
0xbcdaBCAaCD1da3123a6167a65c7aAa7F8Ca43bfA-1772001955151
0xbcdabcaacd1da3123a6167a65c7aaa7f8ca43bfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.36
- Realized PnL
- $77.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.65
- Potential profit
- $50.65
- User PnL
- -$28.36
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.02
- Potential payout
- $39.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- User PnL
- -$29.83
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.22
- Potential payout
- $13.22
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $12.31
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Solana dip to $55 on April 3?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Solana reach $100 on April 7?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Solana reach $110 on April 18?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No 99.9% 39.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 29?No 99.9% 15.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 14?No 99.3% 53.37 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?No 99.9% 53.05 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.5% 12.31 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.9% 45.05 shares
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes 57.9% 133.47 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 32% 118.53 shares
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 23.5% 171.18 shares
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 70.9% 171.19 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 13?Yes 99.9% 66.07 shares