Polymarket Trader

fischvernichtungszentrale

0xbce0f28d9dc31b9fff80e310834fddf17f930790

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.34
Realized PnL: $9.96
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $312.33
Potential profit: $299.99
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.21
Potential profit: $8.21
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72
Potential profit: $3.72
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$3.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 109.47 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 23.2% 28.57 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 47.3 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 22.62 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 112.7 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 66.5% 10.63 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 10.13 shares
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?

Yes 73% 8.21 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

Yes 80% 5.99 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

No 62% 1.61 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 42.86 shares