No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.99K
- Potential payout
- $7.9K
- Potential profit
- $908.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $53.51
Polymarket Trader
expert1
0xbceb5c1f17cebfc49ca972d6a2ce11b807354266
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.99K
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$130.77
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$54.31
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$43.21
No position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.33
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.9
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.59
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.73
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.63
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.85
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.76
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.55
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Down position
XRP Up or Down on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$66.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 5,500 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 92% 2,400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 2,213.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 3.6% 2,299.44 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 50.6% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 55% 1,211.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 81.4% 2,233.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes 19.5% 515.67 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 89% 1,120.33 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No 85% 337 shares