Polymarket Trader

cherrydiabolo

0xbcf32765fbb2163e32766ccc9fb66eb678f2a641

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.19
Realized PnL: $9.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $226.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $49.62
Potential payout: $152.44
Potential profit: $102.82
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $137.79
Potential profit: $132.48
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $24.93
Potential payout: $132.98
Potential profit: $108.05
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $13.29
Potential payout: $85.75
Potential profit: $72.46
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $64.43
Potential profit: $49.13
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $23.58
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $33.24
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $27.18
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $33.36
Potential profit: $23.52
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $10.26
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.36
Potential payout: $14.37
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $9.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 23.3% 64.43 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 25% 36 shares
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 30% 33.36 shares
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 16% 85.75 shares
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 132.98 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 10% 250 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 56.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?

Yes 34.8% 14.37 shares
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 7.3% 137.79 shares