No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $128.79
- Potential payout
- $159
- Potential profit
- $30.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Polymarket Trader
Bodytobody
0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $707.17
- Realized PnL
- $266
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $97.54
- Potential payout
- $112.11
- Potential profit
- $14.57
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $89.04
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $16.96
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $84.18
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $22.54
- Potential payout
- $85.05
- Potential profit
- $62.51
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $22.53
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $62.48
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $47.87
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $36.13
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $64.14
- Potential payout
- $77.75
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $43.12
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $51.27
- Potential profit
- $45.12
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.94
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $21.71
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $13.99
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $4.9
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Seattle Mariners position
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.31
Manoj Dhamne Manas position
Cervia: Petr Nesterov vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Atlas FC position
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.63
Joventut position
Real Madrid vs. Joventut
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $16.78
Miomir Kecmanovic position
Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $15.74
Under position
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.16
Over position
CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Yes position
Will FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar end in a draw?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.36
No position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $8.22
No position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $6.79
N
No position
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.34
LG Twins position
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $5.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?No 57% 181 shares
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 41.6% 496 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 38% 126 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 41% 65 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 36.7% 238.87 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 29% 7.11 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 30% 84.89 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 39% 63 shares
- World Cup: Scoreless Team?Yes 75% 56.07 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No 55.5% 79.09 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 8% 175 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 53% 100 shares