No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Polymarket Trader
vikingr
0xbd1e8f789d97269b955322dc720f33d10b15bac5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $412.5
- Realized PnL
- $214.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.46
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
India-Pakistan declare war before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Bybit insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
North Korea x South Korea military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 390 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 95.8% 294.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.8% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 74% 32.48 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 98.8% 273.28 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 98.8% 88.69 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No 95.3% 17 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No 93% 14 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No 99.4% 64 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No 99.8% 17 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No 99.8% 57 shares
- Bybit insolvent in 2025?No 94% 31 shares