No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $391.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Polymarket Trader
marketsnember
@mask20250273884
0xbd23c760a6302150fe8e9d9db2668ea561a6259d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $984.96
- Realized PnL
- $316.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $270.37
- Potential payout
- $272
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $155.68
- Potential payout
- $155.75
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $97.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $19.74
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Solana above $190 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.84
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $36.8
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?No 99.2% 156 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15?No 99% 110.55 shares
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99% 304 shares
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.9% 96 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 97.7% 50 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 96% 100 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 95% 272 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 91% 77 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 90% 7.54 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 31?No 90% 10 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 99% 100 shares
- Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?No 87% 20 shares