0xbD2b85033cC53cD3785109660B23D0a3c23d74AC-1771757086260

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.85
Potential profit: $42.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $8.98
Potential payout: $39.15
Potential profit: $30.16
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.99
Potential profit: $30.99
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.82
Potential profit: $23.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.9
Potential profit: $17.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.59
Potential profit: $14.59
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.17
Potential profit: $14.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.95
Potential profit: $12.95
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.51
Potential profit: $10.51
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.92
Potential profit: $8.92
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $7.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?