Polymarket Trader

checkache

0xbd2df8b1747a52fb768890e339d51ac92c873bed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.55
Realized PnL: $5.45
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.53
Potential profit: $34.53
User PnL: -$0.77

Maja Chwalinska position

Dubrovnik: Maja Chwalinska vs Tamara Zidansek

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $3.41
User PnL: -$0.99

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Alexander Zverev position

Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Yakult Brothers position

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 80% 5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 85% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 78% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 1.42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.8% 6.25 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 58% 1.53 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Yes 5% 16.66 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 5% 15.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 6% 15.1 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Yes 11% 8.33 shares