Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Polymarket Trader
WhatHappenedHappened
0xbd3002fb3b4b783732d21ea099461dccf3ea685b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.73
- Realized PnL
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $31.98
- Potential payout
- $39.97
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $164
No position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.07
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.98
Yes position
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $62.7
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Fabric public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.45
No position
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $41.04
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $38.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will "Valentine" or "Valentine's" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.4
Yes position
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.76
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $22.67
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $20.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?Yes 47% 19.99 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 29% 50 shares
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes 17% 57.24 shares
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 18% 10 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 30 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 49% 20 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 53% 10 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 51% 29.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 50% 20 shares