Polymarket Trader

carl2

0xbd321e7a48f7d3f666be91e506a0b0d12dee50ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $779.84
Realized PnL: $495.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $141.93
Potential payout: $383.6
Potential profit: $241.67
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $34.52

Yes position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $281.04
Potential payout: $307.14
Potential profit: $26.11
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $19.89

Yes position

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $164.29
Potential payout: $222.01
Potential profit: $57.72
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $183.54
Potential payout: $186.24
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.86

Magic position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.74

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.14

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.83

T1 position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.5

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.55

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.5

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

Cavaliers position

Hawks vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

Yes position

Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Kings position

Kings vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Raptors position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Over position

Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 116.39 shares
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 28% 499.99 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 64% 222 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 9.37 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 39% 44.5 shares
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 90% 51 shares
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94.1% 400 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 88% 250 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 94% 500 shares
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93.4% 103.45 shares
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93.5% 103.45 shares
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96% 178.83 shares