Polymarket Trader

nowhammy

0xbd3e4691909a2eb6ff465f4a5e9ea56ec64440b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $408.83
Realized PnL: $162.68
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.25K
Potential profit: $34.25K
User PnL: -$103.98

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.95K
Potential profit: $9.95K
User PnL: -$109.49

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93K
Potential profit: $8.93K
User PnL: -$106.98

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $96.7
Potential payout: $8.41K
Potential profit: $8.31K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$18.29

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $141.19
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.42K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $30.2

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $65.48
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $5.17K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$34.52

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $39.03
Potential payout: $41.36
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $20.69
User PnL: -$6

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $17.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $11.23
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mariano position

Nik Airball vs Mariano - Higher Poker Winnings on Friday??

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Yes 39% 100 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 5,558.82 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 5,250 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 10,269.23 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 71.11 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 11,025 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.9% 10.75 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 10,590.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 7,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 7,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 5,000 shares