Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $257.03
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$442.97
Polymarket Trader
LiMiD1
0xbd45e5a222091b061d0b3fd007d69fa4681b87b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $257.03
- Realized PnL
- $4.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$600
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$245.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$244.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $992.72
- Potential profit
- $992.72
- User PnL
- -$198.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $868.08
- Potential profit
- $868.08
- User PnL
- -$198.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $626.97
- Potential profit
- $626.97
- User PnL
- -$99.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $623.68
- Potential profit
- $623.68
- User PnL
- -$199.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.71
- Potential profit
- $559.71
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525.69
- Potential profit
- $525.69
- User PnL
- -$198.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.48
- Potential profit
- $396.48
- User PnL
- -$99.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.53
- Potential profit
- $356.53
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.88
- Potential profit
- $299.88
- User PnL
- -$235.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.08
- Potential profit
- $293.08
- User PnL
- -$157.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.8
- Potential profit
- $212.8
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.62
- Potential profit
- $177.62
- User PnL
- -$118.52
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.83
- Potential profit
- $161.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.39
- Potential profit
- $150.39
- User PnL
- -$72.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.17
- Potential profit
- $129.17
- User PnL
- -$80
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.07
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.94
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.51
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.11
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.35
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Down position
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.12
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.05
Down position
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.64
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.28
Down position
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 35.9% 1,392.28 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 34.8% 287.57 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 15.9% 624.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown 66.7% 175.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp 39% 49.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 17.1% 116.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown 95% 315.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 99% 1,464.93 shares