Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Polymarket Trader
0xbD617AF316e811875700E26A2d7752e20D34AAF7-1779773544563
0xbd617af316e811875700e26a2d7752e20d34aaf7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.3
- Realized PnL
- -$6.28
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $17.25
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?No 99.8% 14.28 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 11?No 64% 15.63 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 11?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 35% 20.83 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?No 6% 16.66 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 59.1% 20.23 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 59.3% 3.37 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 53% 11.32 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 59.3% 16.86 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 40.8% 12.25 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?No 60% 16.67 shares