cabanaboy

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$104.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$33.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.99
Potential profit: $419.99
User PnL: -$23.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.92
Potential profit: $399.92
User PnL: -$22.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.56
Potential profit: $308.56
User PnL: -$25.13

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $211.59
Potential profit: $211.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 57.3%
Current value: $101.81
Potential payout: $177.71
Potential profit: $75.9
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $154.45
Potential profit: $143.95
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$30.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $41.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.03

Yes position

Will Toby Doeden and Larry Rhoden advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET