Polymarket Trader

InsiderPelosi

0xbd68ba06e71a14e4f781d585b3b225ffc802746a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.21K
Realized PnL: $49.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $18K
User PnL: -$486

No position

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $7.08K
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $8.48K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.54K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.73K
Potential profit: $7.73K
User PnL: -$4.06K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.71K
Potential profit: $7.71K
User PnL: -$4.55K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$506.18

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $4.07K
User PnL: -$447.76

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $135.07
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$289.11

Yes position

US congress stock trading ban in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$111.09

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.19
Potential profit: $755.19
User PnL: -$400.25

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$95

No position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.77
Potential profit: $499.77
User PnL: -$175.72

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.7
Potential profit: $224.7
User PnL: -$47.19

Yes position

Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$65.13

Colorado Buffaloes position

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.27
Potential profit: $156.27
User PnL: -$99.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.26
Potential profit: $154.26
User PnL: -$48.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.04
Potential profit: $51.04
User PnL: -$12.57

Yes position

Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.15
Potential profit: $41.15
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $22.72
User PnL: -$14.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.28

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.67

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.17

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.22

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.47

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.08

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.06

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.54

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 62% 15,000 shares
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 59.1% 1,074.7 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 34% 300 shares
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Spurs 19% 500 shares
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Colorado Buffaloes 63.5% 156.27 shares
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?

No 60% 37 shares
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?

No 57.8% 121.23 shares
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

No 63% 6.94 shares
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

No 63% 5.26 shares
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

No 63% 5.26 shares
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

No 63% 5.26 shares
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?

No 67% 8 shares