Polymarket Trader

audible

0xbd6c5df476b19762d0b73c8db4a9d2b26bc868d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $471.82
Realized PnL: $2.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $878.78
Potential profit: $874.82
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$31.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $50.31
Potential payout: $804.92
Potential profit: $754.62
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $74.3
Potential payout: $643.29
Potential profit: $568.99
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $38.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $29.39
Potential payout: $618.78
Potential profit: $589.39
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.13
Potential profit: $439.13
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $323.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $18.98
Potential payout: $330.11
Potential profit: $311.13
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$19.02

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $29.91
Potential payout: $308.33
Potential profit: $278.43
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $258.12
Potential profit: $244.7
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$22.58

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.68
Potential profit: $239.68
User PnL: -$69

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $198.22
Potential profit: $192.47
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$62.25

No position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $87.4
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $52.4

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.18
Potential profit: $87.18
User PnL: -$34

No position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $67.87
Potential payout: $85.37
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $32.87

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $80.73
Potential profit: $57.73
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$11

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $41.29
Potential payout: $80.18
Potential profit: $38.89
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $5.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.97

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.84

No position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.2

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.64

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.66

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.39

No position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.7

No position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.56

Yes position

Will Palantir dip to $156 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.33

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

No position

Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.73

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.7

Lower position

Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.01

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.92

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.44

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.83

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Yes 10% 350 shares
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Yes 12% 308.33 shares
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Yes 4.8% 559.65 shares
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Yes 4.1% 245.27 shares
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Yes 11.5% 330.11 shares
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Yes 6.1% 618.78 shares
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?

No 13.9% 265.95 shares
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Yes 13.9% 258.12 shares
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 44.9% 80.18 shares
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?

No 2.8% 107.14 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 7.1% 36 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 87% 40 shares