Polymarket Trader

Russian-Man

0xbd70aaa5514aa549e494d0833e6b5715dee7a9b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $321.96
Realized PnL: $3.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$15.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$8.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506
Potential profit: $506
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506
Potential profit: $506
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506
Potential profit: $506
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506
Potential profit: $506
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $467
User PnL: -$42.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $467
User PnL: -$42.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $467
User PnL: -$42.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$37.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$37.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$37.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $49.59
Potential payout: $342
Potential profit: $292.41
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $76.95
Potential payout: $342
Potential profit: $265.05
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $45.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $342
Potential profit: $341.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$30.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $194.91
Potential payout: $342
Potential profit: $147.09
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $163.81

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.95
Potential profit: $265.95
User PnL: -$84.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.94
Potential profit: $234.94
User PnL: -$21.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.94
Potential profit: $234.94
User PnL: -$21.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.1
Potential profit: $225.1
User PnL: -$160.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.63

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.21

Yes position

Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.72

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 AND England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

48.7% 72.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 2?

Yes 7.4% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 2?

Yes 1.6% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 2?

Yes 0.2% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?

Yes 1.2% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 2?

Yes 0.3% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Yes 0.3% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 2?

No 99.9% 342 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?

Yes 0.1% 506 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?

Yes 23.3% 39 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?

Yes 7% 39 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6?

Yes 1% 39 shares