No position
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Polymarket Trader
Puggsy
0xbd735c8fd1a15c5565a8feb006eee77bcb742db4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.38
- Realized PnL
- $108.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $5.87
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$1.4
N
No position
Will Trump say "Iowa" during Pennsylvania events?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Y
Yes position
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will "Apple" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rally?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Iowa" during Pennsylvania events?No 61% 4.92 shares
- Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?Yes 54% 7.41 shares
- Will Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rally?No 46% 4.35 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?Yes 52% 4.42 shares
- Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?Yes 49% 4.08 shares
- Will "Rent" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 35% 8.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?No 0.2% 5.39 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?No 9% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?No 37% 5.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?No 25% 10.48 shares
- Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?Yes 71% 3.86 shares