Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Polymarket Trader
DanCatalyst
0xbd85eb45c605f1fcc94f8b1cca687f8826a67a3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.59
- Realized PnL
- $247.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $14.37
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.63
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $13.87
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?No 0.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?No 1.7% 4.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?No 1.1% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?No 1.6% 4.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?No 1.3% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?No 41.2% 24.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?No 55% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?No 55% 15 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?No 1.1% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?No 67% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?No 3% 4.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?No 0.2% 15 shares