Polymarket Trader

romanew-cryp

0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.81
Realized PnL: $198.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.38
Potential profit: $503.38
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $65.94
Potential profit: $60.73
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $61.13
Potential profit: $60.79
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.24
Potential profit: $56.24
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.73
Potential profit: $47.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $45.69
Potential profit: $44.3
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$12.61

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $35.92
Potential profit: $30.71
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.65
Potential profit: $33.65
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.26
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $26.98
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $28.16
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $29.16
Potential profit: $28.99
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $26.84
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$5.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $26.72
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$2.63

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.66
Potential profit: $25.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.13
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.65
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.83
Potential profit: $24.83
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.51
Potential profit: $24.51
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $24.48
Potential profit: $24.38
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.98
Potential profit: $23.98
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $23.88
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.18

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.58

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.66

No position

Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.11

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.47

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.59

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.76

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?

No 35.8% 5.37 shares
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 12.4% 8.28 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 12.4% 7.48 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 11.99 shares
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Yes 31% 5.57 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 12.9% 14.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 12.77 shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Yes 0.1% 8.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 22.2% 7.37 shares
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Yes 49% 5 shares