Polymarket Trader

Luk1980

0xbda79b1f0c55213c49d7d2e0979c7ca30271fc55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $920.96
Realized PnL: $3.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.03K
Potential profit: $24.03K
User PnL: -$607.21

Yes position

Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $424.97
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $3.82K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $32.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$454.08

Yes position

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $425.9
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $947.96
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$19.13

Fever position

Fever vs. Aces

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$208.07

Yes position

Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $70.09
Potential payout: $715.24
Potential profit: $645.15
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: -$28.59

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$2.53

No position

Bitcoin above $114.5K on August 22 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$242

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Bitcoin above $111K on August 25 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47

No position

Bitcoin above $111K on August 26 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$54.99

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $50.5
User PnL: -$16.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.74

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.13

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $154.61

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

No position

Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.77

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.26

No position

Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.85

Yes position

Bitcoin above $109.5K on August 26 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.26

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.47

Yes position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $62.25

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.13

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.81

Yes position

Will Alperen Şengün win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.65

Yes position

Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.44

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $58.28

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.22

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.6

Swiatek position

Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W)

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Bucks

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.94

Yes position

Will England beat Greece?

Ends Nov 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

No position

Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 8% 54.3 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 7% 95.35 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 9% 420.94 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 8% 991.39 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 9% 485.99 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 8% 160 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 10% 236.89 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 10% 273.07 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 10% 189 shares
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes 43% 61.51 shares
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes 15% 64.99 shares
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes 15.2% 80 shares